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"When to Take Chances"

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Figure 45 shows a case in point. A double baulk is all you have to play at. If the score was "99 all" in a hundred up, I should advise you to play a sharp shot just clear of the baulk-line with enough side on your ball to come back off the side cushion and hit the red. This is the best chance you have of avoiding the fatal miss. You ought to hit that red nine times out of ten if you are anything of a cue man. But don't ask me to tell you what will happen when you do hit it. If the fates are uncommonly kind, you may run to game "with an unfinished break of three." With ordinary luck, you may reckon on smashing into the red and leaving nothing much on. If you are unlucky, you may leave the red over one pocket and the white over another. It all depends on the fortune of war. You must take your fate in both hands and leave it at that, summoning up all your skill to make sure of giving the red a shrewd knock, the harder the better within reason-do not play too hard, however, or you may make your ball jump completely off the table.

But if the score were 99 to 98 in your favor, it would be very bad billiards indeed to take your chance with the pot-shot at the red. Then you should give a gentle miss an inch or two out of baulk to leave all three balls dead in line. As you want but one for game, your opponent cannot give an answering miss. His best chance of a score is a tremendously difficult hazard into one of the middle pockets. He might pot the red in a top pocket if he strikes a wonderful winner. He might screw back into a baulk pocket if he has plenty of luck, pluck, and cue-power ; he will need all three in abundance to do it. All these shots are possible, and there are others-a wizard with a cue might even make a masse cannon of sorts. But the chances are heavily against a score of any kind, especially between hundred-up performers, and the odds are that you will have a good chance to make the point you want when your adversary fails at some ambitious attempt to score.

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